A Zogby poll shows Republican John Kennedy has taken the lead in the U.S. Senate race against Democrat Mary Landrieu.
According to the Zogby International website, "Republican John Kennedy is among the GOP's best hopes to oust a Democratic incumbent. He leads Democrat Sen. Mary Landrieu, 47%-41%." The poll's margin of error is less than 5%.
"I wouldn't be surprised if the lead changes a bunch of times," says University of Louisiana Political Scientist Pearson Cross.
Pollster John Zogby says, "In Louisiana, Sen. Mary Landrieu faces a strong conservative challenger in John Kennedy. The state was profoundly shaken by Hurricane Katrina, and Landrieu faces a different situation than she did six years ago." He says to prevent a defeat, Landrieu will need a large turnout among women, moderates, African-Americans and low-income voters.
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Cross says, "We just don't know what is going to happen coming down, what ad campaigns are going to catch fire, what messages are going to work and so on... We're going to see a strong tug of war all the way to the polls in November. It's just going to be a race."
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