Posted: Saturday, 05 October 2013 3:55PM
Karen barely a trop. storm, watches dropped
The National Hurricane Center says Tropical Storm Karen is barely hanging on to its status as a storm. One portion of the storm still has winds of 40 miles per hour, but the system has largely been shredded and weakened as it approaches the Louisiana coastline.
In the 4:00 p.m. update, the Hurricane Center has dropped all Tropical Storm Watches, including for north of the lake and south of the lake. WWL-TV Chief Meteorologist Carl Arredondo says the Tropical Storm Warning that remains is along the coast from Grand Isle to mouth of Pearl River.
Karen's forward progress stalled today. The NHC now says a turn to the northeast is expected tonight, followed by a turn toward the east-northeast, and an increase in forward speed on Sunday...followed by a turn to the east on Monday.
On this forecast track, what is left of Karen will move near, or over, portions of coastal Southeast Louisiana tonight and Sunday.
The official track from the National Hurricane Center takes the center of Karen toward southern Louisiana. The storm could clip the mouth of the Mississippi River as a tropical depression early Sunday morning (although the heaviest rain will be on the east side of the storm).
Carl Arredando says rain chances sit at about 40% through the afternoon and drop to 30% for the nighttime hours. We could see rain amounts of about an inch or so on Saturday with another inch or two possible on Sunday as our front moves through. Areas along the coast could see winds of 30-40 mph on Saturday, along with a storm surge of 3-5'. Spots away from the coast, including most of the Southshore and Northshore, could see winds from 15-25 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.