This week I break down the WR position for you. Usually when I draft I do not end up with any of the elite receivers because I am too worried about the running back and quarterback position. Most of the time my strategy works, but of course I have been burned by it as well.
Drafting Saints is really tough because Brees spreads the ball around so well. I will say a "sleeper" pick for me is Robert Meachem this year. He is finally fully healthy and could put up numbers better than the 2009 Super Bowl year, when he had 722 yards with 9 touchdowns.
Andre Johnson, HOU –He has led the league in receiving yards per game in three of the four years that Matt Schaub has started at QB for the Texans. You shouldn’t over think this pick. Johnson is in a high octane offense and is easily fantasy's top receiver.
Calvin Johnson, DET - Megatron has proven that he can produce elite fantasy numbers with a first-string or third-string quarterback. He is an unstoppable top three receiver, and that’s with facing double teams! If QB Matt Stafford can stay healthy, Johnson could score somewhere around 18 touchdowns.
Larry Fitzgerald, ARZ – Just got paid big bucks and the Cardinals went out and traded for QB Kevin Kolb to help bolster his production which dipped for the first time last year without a decent QB in the desert. He’s a pretty safe bet to return to his 07-09 average of 98 receptions, 1,311 yards, and about 12 touchdowns.
Vincent Jackson, SD – Those San Diego Super Chargers are pass happy, and QB Phillip Rivers is among the NFL’s elite. V-Jax missed most of last season due to a contract dispute but could very well finish with double digit TD’s this year.
Roddy White, ATL - The Falcons pulled off a blockbuster trade to grab Alabama star Julio Jones with the No. 6 overall pick, and it should help with those double teams White has been facing. He will lose a few looks only to make up for it with increased effectiveness.
Hakeem Nicks, NYG - Nicks is a great talent, but has missed seven games in his first two seasons while battling wrist, leg, ankle, hamstring, knee, and multiple toe injuries. He has 17 touchdowns in the other 27 games. With Steve Smith now in Philly, Nicks enters the season as Eli Manning's undisputed go to receiver. Has a shot to join the leagues’ upper echelon of WR’s if he can kick the injury bug.
Mike Wallace, PIT – Exploded once Big Ben returned to the lineup last season. He has set a goal of 2,000 receiving yards this season, which would break Jerry Rice's record of 1,848 from 1995. A more realistic goal is 1,500 yards.
Greg Jennings, GB - Fantasy owners will see a decline in production with TE Jermichael Finley and Donald Driver back in the lineup to steal receptions. Considering his talent and quarterback, Jennings is among the safest wide receiver picks going though.
Miles Austin, DAL – It was a tale of two seasons for Austin last year. He averaged 6.6 catches and 97.2 yards with Tony Romo under center the first five games, but after Romo's shoulder injury, those numbers plummeted to just 3.2 catches for 50.4 yards with Jon Kitna. Has major playmaking ability and his numbers should return to those of 2009.
DeSean Jackson, PHI – Still waiting for a new deal from the Eagles BUT is in camp. He is the most explosive WR in the game and also gets you points in the punt return game.
Reggie Wayne, IND – What really concerns me is the health of QB Payton Manning. Without him the Colts offense will obviously take a huge hit. Wayne’s speed has dropped off a bit as well, and there are other options for Manning when healthy.
Brandon Lloyd, DEN – Is the Broncos #1 receiver, but new coach John fox is all about the run. Add in the soap opera QB situation, and I just don’t think he can duplicate the numbers from last year.
Dez Bryant, DAL – Is thee “breakout” candidate in fantasy football. Showed some very impressive flashes during his rookie campaign and has a better grasp of the offense as well as a healthy QB this season.
Dwayne Bowe, KC - Last season's stats are probably unrepeatable. The Chiefs face a significantly tougher schedule this year, and he has more competition for targets with Steve Breaston and rookie Jonathan Baldwin in the mix. Would be great as your WR2 though.
Brandon Marshall, MIA – Marshall is a better player than he showed last season, so expect at least the yards and TDs to increase. Chad Henne's poor QB play and Marshall's character concerns represent risks.
Santonio Holmes, NYJ - With Braylon Edwards and Jericho Cotchery moving on, Holmes is not only locked in as Sanchez's go-to receiver but also a potential target hog on offense
Mike Williams, TB – Potential is sky high with QB Josh Freeman’s stock also on the rise. Really uses his physicality in the red zone.
Marques Colston, NOR – Had 1,000 yards for the fourth time in five seasons and is really the only Saints receiver you trust on a weekly basis. Is a concern though after undergoing his 5th knee surgery. Also had a high number of drops last year.
Wes Welker, NE - Says he is faster now than he was before tearing his ACL in January of 2010 and is in a contract year. Leads the league with 432 catches over the past four seasons.
Stevie Johnson, BUF - Is locked in as Ryan Fitzpatrick's go-to receiver after a career year. Johnson will have to prove he can consistently beat double coverage while playing for a new deal. He is a legit red zone weapon with physicality, separation skills, and great hands.