by Steve Geller, Steve@wwl.com,posted Oct 19 2012 6:37AM
I am very fortunate to only have Jamall Charles on a bye this week as I go up against one of my league's best teams "Honey boo boo badger." I'm sitting in 4th place at 3-3 and really want to prove as commish that I am the alpha dog, so this is a must win. Here's my forecast for week 7.
Christian Ponder: Quarterback, Minnesota Vikings
I know, I know...with Matt Ryan, Peyton Manning and Philip Rivers on a bye this week, Ponder LOOKS like a good option. He had two solid back-to-back outings for decent fantasy numbers, but I think you should look elsewhere for your bye week QB. Ponder is facing an Arizona defense that has been solid this season and only looks to be getting better with time. This defense is ranked only 18th against the pass, but they can really shut down an opponent significantly. Expect Ponder to see the Card's pass rush in full-force, which will create a number of inaccurate passes and possibly some turnovers.
Shonn Greene: Running Back, New York Jets
He might be coming off a huge game, but I believe it is a fluke. Greene is one of those guys you hate to pass up on draft day because he has great potential, but he never truly lives up to the hype. This week he faces a New England defense that can shut down the run and if we've learned anything about being a Shonn Greene fantasy owner, it is that he is inconsistent. Take him for what he is: a solid back who can have a huge day or a bust of a day. Unfortunately, his bust days come more often.
Santana Moss: Wide Receiver, Washington Redskins
Alright, let's analyze Santana's' situation. He is third on the depth chart, not considering Pierre Garcon's injury. He ranks second in team receptions and yardage, but he has only had one double-digit fantasy week. Garcon sat out again this week with his nagging, somewhat undisclosed foot injury, so does this mean we will see increased production from Moss, if Garcon remains sidelined? I think not. Moss tends to play the slot receiver role and this week he faces a surging Giants defense. It is projected that his fantasy numbers might be down as much as 25% this week, indicating about a 4-5 point week. Moss could have some increased production if Garcon continues to miss time, but at this point he is better left on your bench.
Ryan Fitzpatrick: Quarterback, Buffalo Bills
It seems like this year started very similar to last season for Fitzpatrick, who is putting up big fantasy numbers. After passing for 12 touchdowns in the first four games though, he hasn't thrown any in the last two. That should change this week as the Bills face the 4th worst passing defense in the NFL, the Tennessee Titans, who are giving up 292 yards per game through the air. With all the QB's on bye this week, I wouldn't hesitate for a minute to give Fitzpatrick the start.
Felix Jones: Running Back, Dallas Cowboys
Going into the season last year there were huge expectations about what Jones could do in the Cowboy's offense. Unfortunately, due to injuries and inconsistent play, that never happened. This season he was scheduled to be the backup, but that all changed since DeMarco Murray went down last week. Jones came on in relief and had one of his better games in a long time. He rushed 18 times for 92 yards and a touchdown, as well as 1 catch for 13 yards. Murray has already been ruled out for this week's game, so if you have Jones sitting on your bench get him in your starting lineup.
Martellus Bennett: Tight End, New York Giants
Bennett started out his first season with the G-Men like a man possessed. Over his first three games he caught 15 passes for 185 yards and 3 touchdowns. Over his next three games, though, he only had 5 receptions for 41 yards and no touchdowns. Look for him to get back on track this week as he faces the Redskins, who are giving up the most yards per game through the air (323 passing yards per game) and have had a very tough time covering TE's the last few weeks, getting torched by Atlanta's Tony Gonzalez and again last week having trouble dealing with Minnesota's Kyle Rudolph.
Pick-up of the week
Vick Ballard: Running Back, Indianapolis Colts
Ballard and the Colts never had a chance to establish a ground attack last week, because Indy bailed on the run game after falling behind in the second quarter. Ballard and Mewelde Moore did end up splitting snaps equally, as the vet is trusted as Andrew Luck's protector in the no-huddle. Ballard, though, has a better shot at 15-18 touches this week in a home game versus the Cleveland Browns.